Gold buoyed by Fed rate-cut hopes, geopolitical concerns

Gold prices firmed on Wednesday on mounting bets of US interest rate cuts in September and rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with markets awaiting U.S. economic data for clues on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path.

Spot gold rose 0.5% to $2,400.89 per ounce, as of 9:43 a.m. ET (1343 GMT). U.S. gold futures gained 0.4% to $2,441.10.

Bullion prices fell as much as 3% on Monday, caught in a global sell-off driven by fears of a U.S. recession.

“I do think a correction is most likely if economic data shows that the recession fears are justified … gold will probably hit a new all time high in the coming months,” said Everett Millman, chief market analyst with Gainesville Coins.

Last week’s soft jobs report has led traders to expect nearly 106 basis points of rate cuts by year-end, with a 100% chance of a September rate cut, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

On Tuesday, the leader of Hezbollah pledged a “strong and effective” response to the killing of its military commander by Israel last week, no matter the consequences.

Bullion is considered a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainties and tends to thrive in a low interest rate environment.

“Jobless claims on Thursday is something markets will be looking for confirmation of slowing economic numbers, particularly employment,” said Bart Melek, head of commodity strategies at TD Securities.

Meanwhile, China’s central bank held back on buying gold for its reserves for a third straight month in July, official data showed on Wednesday.

“There has been some improvement in the appetite for gold in the West, but really China does lead the way in this regard and if they’re not buying as much, then that’s going to have a bigger impact on the aggregate global gold demand,” Millman added.

Spot silver edged 0.2% lower to $26.98 per ounce.

Platinum rose 1% to $921.23 and palladium was up 2.6% to $897.00.